Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1152.754483 1302.291910 1466.296030 1659.910560 1882.738214 2131.737315 2431.870502
2025-12-07 894.875460 1089.022772 1320.479495 1618.384065 1993.978659 2454.855484 3067.884134
2025-12-14 748.574754 956.287227 1217.883795 1574.607222 2053.117479 2679.499188 3572.537434
2025-12-21 641.946065 852.019346 1128.340269 1523.000445 2079.686598 2848.135527 4008.909537
2025-12-28 594.908538 817.223109 1121.369919 1574.546943 2244.125399 3215.346035 4764.766652
2026-01-04 548.420096 776.155800 1098.564070 1597.137422 2364.708317 3528.537719 5479.372051
2026-01-11 506.985092 736.853524 1072.410659 1609.025724 2466.673345 3821.133050 6198.190077
2026-01-18 471.065857 701.421327 1047.237156 1617.597905 2561.365026 4109.653254 6947.248808
2026-01-25 447.332164 681.725520 1043.214443 1657.533532 2709.052327 4499.924683 7926.507155
2026-02-01 423.055666 658.594554 1030.965011 1681.546695 2830.840269 4858.273038 8899.040529
2026-02-08 399.057462 633.555304 1012.883420 1692.936688 2930.357609 5186.901633 9862.485698
2026-02-15 378.333720 611.952465 998.201193 1707.969398 3036.771304 5539.175820 10924.959420
2026-02-22 360.999889 595.183570 991.161519 1737.629862 3177.181701 5981.085573 12263.003659
2026-03-01 333.171730 558.262089 946.189693 1693.591523 3172.071802 6136.864399 13015.613301
2026-03-08 307.968516 523.874400 902.662868 1647.543609 3156.836733 6268.236624 13732.688575
2026-03-15 284.062409 489.972720 857.220057 1593.246697 3118.350485 6344.865816 14333.844458
2026-03-22 277.154167 486.252014 866.784904 1647.479175 3310.578124 6944.413655 16305.743364
2026-03-29 266.740400 475.207492 861.574106 1671.250331 3440.285405 7421.937394 18063.156785
2026-04-05 255.738276 462.201710 851.471851 1683.760830 3546.406545 7859.185898 19800.278442
2026-04-12 245.158665 449.209219 840.301458 1692.782015 3645.441613 8292.897585 21614.400279
2026-04-19 238.910232 444.139553 844.371594 1734.813427 3825.531491 8950.675228 24201.906650
2026-04-26 231.271905 435.755770 841.023770 1760.089896 3968.784661 9536.351447 26705.834750
2026-05-03 222.808330 425.114938 832.177337 1772.079913 4081.035309 10057.747525 29129.468467